Saturday, April 29, 2023

Chad Gordon Analyses NCAA Men's Tourney Teams' Attacking Efficiency

Over at Off the Block, Chad Gordon has every attacking stat you could want for each of the seven teams in the NCAA men's tournament (UCLA, Hawai'i, Grand Canyon, Long Beach State, Penn State, Ohio State, and King University of Bristol, Tennessee). For each team, Gordon examines:

  • The team's overall hitting percentage (or efficiency) and hitting percentage for each player with more than 100 hitting attempts on the season.
  • How these hitting percentages compare to what would be expected based on situational factors (e.g., the quality of serve-receipt before the ball is set to the hitter, whether the team is attacking after a free-ball). 
  • Hitting percentage and hitting percentage over expected for in-system and out-of-system attacks.
Even though some of the statistical formulations are complex, Gordon offers practical, straightforward conclusions, such as that UCLA's Ido David is "hitting almost 200 points above expectation in-system ... and can be counted on for a quick sideout." Or that, "While [the Hawai'i] middle duo of [Guilherme] Voss and [Cole] Hogland are ridiculously efficient on their limited attempts, it’s the three pin hitters whose consistent play throughout the chaos really shines. Of the three, [Dimitrios] Mouchlias shines the brightest, hitting +.234 over expectation on out of system attempts."

2023 NCAA Women's Preview

Sixth-four teams are alive at the moment, but it sure looks like Nebraska (28-1) and Wisconsin (26-3) will meet for a third time this season...