Friday, December 12, 2014

2014 NCAA Women's Tourney Second Weekend

The women's NCAA Sweet Sixteen begins tonight. Here are the match-ups, showing teams' scores on my Conference-Adjusted Combined Offensive-Defensive (CACOD) ratings. The team with the higher CACOD in a given match would be favored to win.

Host Site Higher-Seeded Team  CACOD Lower-Seeded Team CACOD
Ames, Iowa Stanford (1) 2.24 Oregon State 1.34
Ames, Iowa Florida (8) 1.98 Illinois (9) 1.78
Louisville Penn State (5) 3.09 UCLA (12) 1.47
Louisville Wisconsin (4) 2.20 Ohio State 1.43
Seattle Washington (3) 2.23 Nebraska (14) 1.72
Seattle Florida State (6) 1.65 BYU 1.99
Minneapolis North Carolina (7) 1.75 Oregon (10) 1.59
Minneapolis Texas (2) 2.29 Colorado State (15) 2.05

BYU would thus be the only lower-seeded team I would pick to win.

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2023 NCAA Women's Preview

Sixth-four teams are alive at the moment, but it sure looks like Nebraska (28-1) and Wisconsin (26-3) will meet for a third time this season...